Thaksin Shinawatra, flanked by his daughter Paetongtarn, addressed reporters at his residence, making waves on his birthday, July 24.
Paetongtarn’s nomination as Pheu Thai’s new prime minister signals Thaksin’s determined march to rebuild support and challenge the People’s Party (PP). A political analyst observes this as Thaksin’s move to solidify a power base. Despite her perceived inexperience, the 37-year-old Paetongtarn clinched resounding support from the House to replace Srettha Thavisin, unseated by the Constitutional Court.
After forming alliances with conservative parties last year, Pheu Thai has emerged as the new conservative force poised to contest the PP, a revived version of the progressive Move Forward Party dissolved earlier.
A Direct Challenge
Stithorn Thananithichot, heading the Office of Innovation for Democracy at King Prajadhipok’s Institute, suggested Paetongtarn’s ascension hints at the conservatives’ strategy to counter the opposition, this time without a proxy.
Reports indicate key coalition leaders convened at Thaksin’s Ban Chan Song La residence recently, opting for Chaikasem Nitisiri, a seasoned former justice minister, as a prime candidate. However, Pheu Thai’s executive board made a surprising pivot the next day, backing Paetongtarn instead.
“This move is critical for Pheu Thai. It’s their last shot to regain voter trust and political ground,” said Mr. Stithorn. “Failing could spell the end of their prominence against PP.”
With Thaksin’s ambitious push, the stakes for Pheu Thai couldn’t be higher. The political landscape will intensify, especially with a Shinawatra at the helm. Local elections loom, promising fierce contests as parties vie for a fortified voter base ahead of the general elections.
Paetongtarn, the third Shinawatra to hold the prime ministerial post, lives up to her family’s political legacy. “Pheu Thai must tackle PP’s popularity and rally support from influential political families. Expect intense politicking,” remarked Stithorn.
A Weak Opposition
A Chartthaipattana Party source described Paetongtarn as a “safe” choice amid a weak and transitioning opposition. The National Anti-Corruption Commission is investigating 44 former MPs from the dissolved MFP, targeting them for supporting amendments to the lese-majeste law. This perceived opposition weakness creates an opportune moment to act decisively.
“With Paetongtarn in office, Thaksin’s influence remains pivotal. A fresh approach is now crucial,” echoed the source. Her premiership marks a high-stakes clash with the PP.
Bhumjaithai leader Anutin Charnvirakul, on the other hand, is not currently seen as a contender to lead the conservative front.
Adisorn Piengkes, a Pheu Thai list MP, emphasized the need for both the government and opposition to re-evaluate their strategies following recent political setbacks. Yet, he expressed faith in Paetongtarn’s capabilities, bolstered by her father’s counsel and party allies.
“Our intention wasn’t to wage a political war by nominating Paetongtarn. It’s about honoring our election promises and strengthening party popularity,” stated Mr. Adisorn. On the party’s digital wallet policy, he believes the new government will make impactful decisions akin to the universal healthcare program.
Positive Signs
The Thai Chamber of Commerce (TCC) lauds Paetongtarn’s swift nomination, anticipating it to boost national confidence. TCC Chairman Sanan Angubolkul asserts that leadership transcends age, focusing instead on effective governance and resourceful policy implementation.
The private sector expects a collaborative coalition government under Paetongtarn to ensure stability and unity. Key focus areas outlined by TCC include maintaining the Thai baht’s stability, promoting tourism to hit 36-37 million visitors, introducing new tourist sites, and enhancing safety. These measures aim to penetrate new markets, boost exports, and support the economy.
There’s also a call for rapid financial disbursements for the 2024 fiscal year, economic alleviation measures, and protection from cheap foreign goods. Sanan further urged the continuation of policies to attract foreign investments and a designated ministry to follow up on these agendas.
He also emphasized driving the soft power agenda and promoting projects to add economic value, while upskilling the labor force to harness digital technology opportunities. High energy costs and outdated laws curtailing investments were pinpointed for urgent attention.
With Thailand’s GDP growth averaging around 2%, the government must engineer a medium and long-term strategy to elevate growth to at least 3-5%, concluded Mr. Sanan.
Paetongtarn might be young and inexperienced, but fresh perspectives are needed. The old guard has failed us repeatedly.
How can you trust someone with no experience? It’s just Thaksin trying to control everything from behind the scenes.
That’s exactly the point. Thaksin’s legacy is problematic. But dynasties have been commonplace in politics everywhere.
Experience doesn’t always equate to effectiveness. Sometimes, new ideas and enthusiasm can drive real change. We have to give her a chance.
This is all just political theater. Thaksin is using his daughter as a pawn. Wake up, people!
If it’s political theater, then all the world’s a stage. Every politician plays a role. At least Paetongtarn has clear support.
Do we really want a third Shinawatra in office? It’s like they’re turning Thailand into a monarchy of their own making!
My point exactly, Bhopal! It’s a power grab masked as progress. We need genuine leaders, not political puppets.
Why is everyone ignoring the economic perspective here? The TCC anticipates a confidence boost. That’s positive news amidst all the chaos.
Economic optimism is good, but it should not come at the cost of democratic integrity.
Policies that sustain economic growth are crucial, regardless of who implements them. Good governance transcends individual leaders.
True, but without political stability, economic growth doesn’t stand a chance.
Agreed, Jake123. That’s why we must support a government that can balance both stability and growth, even if it means unconventional leadership like Paetongtarn.
I think Paetongtarn will do just fine. The old politicians are corrupt anyway. Time for a change!
Blind optimism. Do you think Thaksin is any less corrupt? That’s naive.
Everybody has skeletons in their closet. But at least she might bring something new to the table. It’s worth the risk.
All this drama! Why don’t people just look at policies instead of personas? The digital wallet policy sounds promising.
Do we trust a political party that shifts its candidates overnight? That seems too chaotic for a stable government.
Political flexibility can be a strength. Sticking to a failing plan is worse.
True, but there’s a fine line between flexibility and inconsistency. It’s hard to have faith in a party that changes direction so abruptly.
Paetongtarn is just another tool in Thaksin’s arsenal. The real question is, will she have the freedom to lead independently?
How do we know that Paetongtarn is capable? The PP Party has experienced leaders with a track record.
PP Party isn’t without its flaws. The real fight is about who can gain the most public trust. For now, Paetongtarn has the momentum.
How will this affect Thailand’s international relationships? Will other countries even take Paetongtarn seriously?
Youthful leaders have gained respect worldwide. Look at New Zealand’s Ardern. Paetongtarn could be Thailand’s own inspiration.
Ardern had significant experience before becoming PM. Paetongtarn still needs to prove her value on the global stage.
The private sector’s approval speaks volumes. Businesses are hopeful, and that might just steady the ship.
But what about the corruption probes? The MFP’s dissolution caused such a mess. Can they clean it up?
Corruption is a deep-rooted issue. Any new leader must tackle it head-on, starting with transparency.
Paetongtarn might surprise everyone. Sometimes, it’s the untested who bring the biggest changes.
Change is great, but it’s a gamble. We need to weigh risks carefully.
What I want to know is how this shift will impact local governance and the upcoming elections.
The dynamics between Pheu Thai and PP are what will determine Thailand’s future. Let’s see who can actually deliver.