Kasikorn Bank’s head of capital markets research believes domestic and foreign forces will keep the baht and global money markets unstable. CIMBT official says higher policy rate is related to global inflation. K Bank expects that if tourism increases at the end of the year, the baht may move back to 35 per dollar. The MPC is expected to raise the policy rate to 1.25 percent in November, boosting the baht. CIMBT hopes a strong tourism revival can save and rebuild Thailand’s economy, like many in the government and private sector. As more tourists come to the country, inflation should reduce as the economy stabilizes and GDP grows. CIMBT recently raised its projection for GDP growth by the end of the year from 3.1% to 3.2%. That would boost the baht and keep it near 37 baht to the dollar, but it’s a temporary fix; the baht will plummet in value following.
With the US currency growing and Thailand’s faltering economy, the baht may fall below 38 per dollar by the end of the year.
Thailand’s inflation rate is anticipated to average 6.2% in 2022 and 2.6% in 2023. While the US currency continues to gain value due to hawkish federal fund rate hikes, the Bank of Thailand’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) may raise its benchmark policy rate from 0.75 to 1% next week. Amonthep Chawla, head of CIMB Thai Bank’s research economist office, agrees with the analysis and believes the baht would fall to 38 to one to the US dollar, although the bank of Thailand will raise its policy rate to 1.75 percent. He predicts 2.5% by 2023. We expect the central bank to boost its policy rate twice by 50 basis points this year to narrow the gap between Thailand’s rate and the fed funds rate. This should slow baht devaluation.
This year, economists predict a baht to dollar exchange rate of 38
More from ThailandMore posts in Thailand »
- Witsanu Attavanich Leads Charge Against Climate Change: Thailand’s Agricultural Future on the Brink
- Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin’s Rally in Maha Sarakham: A Promise of Renewal Against Debt, Drugs, and Drought
- Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin Unveils Lifeline for Thai Citizens: Debt Relief, Anti-Drug Strategy, and Drought Solutions
- Muay Thai Goes Global: Thailand Welcomes Chinese Tourists with Innovative Non-Ed Visa in Phuket
- Paetongtarn Shinawatra Launches Pheu Thai Party Academy: Shaping Thailand’s Political Future
- Thailand Leads Sustainable Rice Farming Revolution: A Beacon of Hope in Ayutthaya’s Green Fields
- Bangkok’s Shocking Extortion Scheme: Lao Woman and Rogue Officers Exploit Chinese Nationals
- Thanu Wongchinda Advocates for Heat-Safe Education in Bangkok Amid Rising Temperatures
- Defiant Rebels vs. Myanmar Junta: KNLA’s Bold Stand Amid Borderlands Turmoil
- Thailand at a Crossroads: Golden Charter Symbolizes Hope for Democratic Progress Amidst New Constitution Debate
- Wicharn Khuptiphongkun: Pioneering Real Estate Vision to Transform Nakhon Ratchasima’s Political Landscape
- Bangkok Unveiled: Pol Maj Gen Noppasin Exposes Audacious Chinese Businessmen Abduction
Be First to Comment